BTC Gauss — Real-Time Bitcoin Analysis

| Z-Score · MVRV · LPPLS · Monte Carlo · On-Chain · 15 Quantitative Models
Bitcoin analysis · BTC prediction · Bitcoin signals · Halving cycle
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Advanced quantitative models derived from market behavior and statistical probability.
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Analyzing market conditions...
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⚡ BTC GAUSS — Real-time update | loading... | please wait... | calculating... | analyzing... | processing... | loading... | loading... |
🔮 NEXT 24H — PROBABILISTIC SIMULATION
BTC GAUSS SIGNAL
Where probability meets Bitcoin.
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Calculating...
🧠 Auto Diagnosis
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Trend
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Bull Prob.
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Risk
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Extreme
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Market Phase
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analyzing...
LIVE FEED
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BTC/USD Price Chart ↑
Gauss Index
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Extreme Index
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Confluence Score
Relative 24h Volume by Hour
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Movement Strength — Institutional Momentum
Technical Indicators
Support & Resistance — Smart Zones
Fibonacci — Retracements & Extensions
RSI (14)
MACD
Current Z-Score
STANDARD DEVIATIONS
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calculating...
Gaussian Distribution — Historical Position
Z-Score History — Extreme Detection
⏱️ Mean Reversion Time After Extremes
Conditional Probabilities — Basisd on Historical Patterns
Scenarios — Next 30 days
ScenarioTargetΔ%Prob.Basis
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Heat Map — Probability Density
Halving Cycle — Position & Phase
Performance by Day of Week
Seasonality — Average Return by Month
Market Sessions — Volume & Volatility
⏱️ Average Trend Duration
Historical Seasonality Calendar
PeriodAvg ReturnWin RateBiggest GainBiggest DropStrength
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Active Alerts:–
Last Rare Event:–
Current Frequency:–
Conditions Met:–
Market Alerts
🔁 Similar Historical Patterns
🧨 Rare Statistical Events Detector
Volume Profile — Accumulation & Distribution
High Liquidity Zones
Density Map — Time Spent per Price Range
🔮 Statistical Projection — Future Price Distribution
Future Probability Distribution
Expected Path — Simplified Monte Carlo
🧪 Strategy Simulations — Basisd on Historical Date
Combined Strategy vs Buy & Hold
CURRENT CYCLE
4º
Halving
CYCLE DIAGNOSIS
📊 Halving History — Complete Comparison
📉 Diminishing Returns Pattern (Law of Returns)
🎯 Bottom Analysis — Bear Market Bottoms
🏔️ Peak Analysis — Bull Market Peaks
🔮 2024–2028 Cycle Projection — Statistical Model
📅 Strategic Calendar 2024–2030 by Quarter
📐 Diminishing Returns Model — Current Cycle Estimate
🔬 Advanced Quantitative Models — Calibrated on Previous Halvings
🎯 BAYESIAN ENSEMBLE — Top & Bottom Probability
📊 Model Historical Accuracy — Halvings 2012 / 2016 / 2020
Crypto VIX (BVIV)
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calculating...
Fear & Greed Index
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Realized Volatility
📈 VIX History vs Price — Correlation
🧠 Strategic VIX Interpretations
📊 Volatility by Period — Comparison
⚡ Extreme Volatility Events — History
🎯 When VIX Predicts Movement — Backtest
💎 Realized Price & MVRV EST.
📊 SOPR — Spent Output Profit Ratio EST.
🌊 HODL Waves — Coin Age Distribution EST.
📐 Metcalfe's Law — Network Value EST.
🔍 Fourier — Hidden Price Cycles
🔬 MODEL-BASED ON-CHAIN ESTIMATES
Derived Metrics: MVRV, Realized Price, SOPR and HODL Waves are quantitative models based on price behavior and statistical approximations — not raw blockchain data. They provide probabilistic insights into market structure and cycle positioning. For direct on-chain data, refer to providers such as Glassnode or Coin Metrics. Price, volume, RSI, MACD and all technical indicators are real-time data sourced from Binance.
🎲 Monte Carlo — 10,000 Scenario Simulations
Horizon:
Distribution:
📊 Results Distribution — Histogram
🎯 Probability by Price Range
📉 Non-Normal Distributions — Fat Tails (Lévy / Pareto)
🔄 Reflexivity (Soros)
💧 Global Liquidity Cycles
🎭 Market Psychology
🧲 Liquidity Map — Hunting Zones
📉 Bitcoin Maturity — Volatility per Cycle
🌀 Time Fractals — Multi-Scale Patterns
🏆 BTC Elite Score — All Models Synthesis
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🏆 Top 7 — Rarest Bitcoin Moments (and what happened after)
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BTC GAUSS
Quantitative Bitcoin analysis with advanced statistical models. Not investment advice.
Data for educational and informational purposes. Always do your own research (DYOR).
© BTC Gauss · 📚 Analysis Guides · Real-time data · 15+ quantitative models · 100% free · · ·
🔒 Privacy Policy — BTC Gauss

1. Overview

BTC Gauss (btcgauss.com) is a free, open-access Bitcoin market intelligence terminal. This Privacy Policy explains what data we collect, how we use it, and your rights as a visitor.

By using this terminal, you agree to the practices described below.

1a. Legal Basis (GDPR Art. 6)

We process personal data only where we have a valid legal basis under the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR):

  • Consent (Art. 6.1.a) — Analytics and advertising cookies are only activated after you explicitly accept via our cookie banner. You may withdraw consent at any time via "Cookie Preferences" in the footer.
  • Legitimate Interest (Art. 6.1.f) — Basic server logs necessary for security and terminal stability. We balance this against your privacy rights.
  • Legal Obligation (Art. 6.1.c) — Where required by applicable law.

If you are located in the European Economic Area (EEA), United Kingdom, or Brazil (LGPD), these legal bases apply to your data processing.

2. Data We Collect

BTC Gauss is designed with minimal data collection as a core principle. We collect:

  • Usage data via Google Analytics / AdSense — page views, session duration, approximate geographic location (country/city level), device type and browser. This data is anonymized and aggregated.
  • Cookies from advertising — Google AdSense places cookies on your device to serve relevant ads and measure ad performance. These are third-party cookies controlled by Google.
  • No account or registration data — BTC Gauss requires no sign-up, email, or personal information to use.
  • No financial data — We do not collect, store, or process any information related to your Bitcoin holdings, wallet addresses, or transactions. Bitcoin donation addresses displayed are one-way only.

3. How We Use Data

  • To understand how visitors use the terminal and improve the experience
  • To serve non-personalized or personalized ads via Google AdSense
  • To monitor terminal performance and uptime

We do not sell, rent, or share your personal data with third parties beyond the advertising and analytics services described above.

4. Third-Party Services

BTC Gauss connects to external APIs to provide real-time market data:

  • Binance API — price, volume, historical data (public endpoints, no personal data sent)
  • CryptoCompare — price fallback data
  • CoinGecko — market cap and dominance data
  • Blockchain.info / Mempool.space — on-chain network data
  • Google AdSense — advertising. Google's privacy policy applies: policies.google.com/privacy
  • Google Fonts — typography (Syne, Space Mono, DM Mono). Font requests may be logged by Google.

These services have their own privacy policies. BTC Gauss does not control their data practices.

5. Cookies

We use the following types of cookies:

  • Analytics cookies — to understand traffic patterns (Google Analytics)
  • Advertising cookies — to serve and measure ads (Google AdSense)
  • No session or login cookies — BTC Gauss has no user accounts

You can disable cookies in your browser settings at any time. The terminal will continue to function without advertising cookies.

6. Investment Disclaimer

BTC Gauss is not a financial advisor and nothing on this terminal constitutes investment advice. All analysis, signals, probability estimates, Z-Score readings, halving cycle projections, and model outputs are provided for educational and informational purposes only.

Statistical models and historical patterns do not guarantee future results. Bitcoin markets are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decision.

The Gauss Score, Gauss Index, and all derived signals are quantitative tools — not recommendations to buy or sell any asset.

7. Data Retention

BTC Gauss does not maintain a database of user data. Any analytics data collected via Google Analytics is retained according to Google's standard retention policies (typically 14 months for user-level data).

7a. Withdraw Consent

You may withdraw or change your cookie consent at any time by clicking "Cookie Preferences" in the footer of this page. Withdrawing consent does not affect the lawfulness of processing before the withdrawal.

Your consent choice is stored locally on your device for 365 days. We do not transmit your consent record to any server.

8. Your Rights

Depending on your jurisdiction, you may have rights to:

  • Access, correct, or delete personal data Google holds about you
  • Opt out of personalized advertising via adssettings.google.com
  • Use the terminal with an ad blocker — we respect your choice

9. Children's Privacy

BTC Gauss is intended for users 18 years of age or older. We do not knowingly collect data from minors.

10. Changes to This Policy

We may update this Privacy Policy as the terminal evolves. The date of the last revision will be noted below. Continued use of the terminal after changes constitutes acceptance of the updated policy.

11. Contact

For privacy-related questions, contact us at: contactbtcgauss@gmail.com

Last updated: March 2026 · BTC Gauss · btcgauss.com

BTC Gauss does not sell your data.